Two days ago we reported the North rain and snow, the sudden rise in vegetable prices. In fact, all kinds of agricultural products, the real winner is not the prices of vegetables, but the garlic and humble, from the Spring Festival to the present, less than ten months, turned a few times.
However, this ratio increasesStockMost cattle Niugu still formidable. How only a seasoning of garlic, this year transformed into noble food? Our reporters to garlic, the main producing areas - Shandong Jinxiang County conducted a survey, a look together.
Garlic: Shake the body into a noble dish
Reporter: "I am now the place where the hometown of Chinese garlic - Jinxiang, Shandong Province, China's garlic on the market a quarter from here, in this garlic point of sale, I have learned from the boss there, This bag red garlic, 40 pounds, last year, when prices are low, its price is 3 5 cents, but now, its price had risen to 120 money. "
Jinxiang garlic in the wholesale market, densely distributed with hundreds of garlic in the wholesale,TradeAnd processing enterprises, the owner of this garlic named Han Yuchang processing point, he told reporters, compared with previous years, this year a good surprise garlic Quotes.
Jinxiang garlic processing site owner Han Yuchang: "Last year at this time a dime a pound, this time 3."
Han Yuchang workflow processing point is very simple, only a few workers had bought garlic unpacking, and then put into the pockets of customer-specified models can be shipped, he told reporters that the recent shipments of very considerable .
Reporter: "The average sold down the number of tons a day?"
Jinxiang garlic processing site owner Han Yuchang: "One day we sold a dozen tons."
As the garlic last year, the price is very low, Han Yuchang still selling this year, do not worry about the price, it only entered a few hundred tons of cargo, and the late start, the high purchase price, the average earn a few cents per catty, but more than 3 months down, Han Yuchang has earned more than 20 million, more than happy with, he also went to Jining bought a car.
Reporter: "I heard that you bought this car new?"
Jinxiang garlic processing site owner Han Yuchang: "The new buy."
Reporter: "This car has spent how much?"
Han Yuchang: "12 million."
Vendors such as Han Yuchang is only a small role, in Jinxiang county nandian village, a son of the open space on every morning at dawn, there will be hundreds of garlic vendors gathered here to exchange and agree on prices, each of them in the hands of thousands of tons of inventory or even have a million tons.
Reporter: "This transaction places the number of trading volume accounted for the country of garlic?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "You could say yes, 90%, the lowest 90%, including all over the world here, can be said to have accounted for 80%, 90%."
Jinxiang garlic as the main producing areas of China, China is the world's major exporter of garlic, it is that hundreds of vendors in China and the world about the price of garlic.
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "Here is a center, around the world to see this place, this place one rose up all over the world, this place lost a whole world out."
Garlic prices continued to rise this year, South Village, sub shop, this place is not readily visible within a few months the open space has attracted a large number of businessmen around the country.
Reporter: "From where come from?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "I come from Shenzhen."
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "Liaoning."
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "I (Zhejiang) Bearing the state. "
The edge of the crowd, the reporter found a young man early 20s, he told reporters he was from the northeast, is also currently doing Jinxiang garlicBusiness。
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "Now you see there, the shipment went to work loading now, as they are now able to take the goods a day, and even exports with domestic sales can go 150 car, be able to take 4,500 tons to 5,000 tons, basically these people negotiated in the side, I've been shipping, I have a small family. "
Reporter: "Multi-scale?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "200 tons."
Garlic has become cash cow, and many lay people are envious
Support Jinxiang hot market, and the rising price of garlic. Chinese garlic network survey, this year's garlicDistributionThe average price of commercial warehousing 1.5 per catty to 1.8 yuan. With garlic this month, a new listing,DistributionProviders are expected shortly, garlic prices will not fall below 4 yuan per catty, coupled with cold weather and warehousing freight costs, garlic can also be longer on the afternoon the price floor.
Garlic has become the money-spinner, not onlyDistributionMakers this year, earning pours, and many lay people are envious of them, have joined the ranks of garlic transactions. Our reporter met a sum earned by 50 million truck drivers.
Compared to last year's price low, the current wholesale price of dried garlic has gone up 40 times, but the transaction is continuing hot garlic. Quotes in this wave, not only those who do hold a few hundred tons, thousands of tonnes of stock traders made huge profits, and even a lot of ordinary people who do not have the kind of capital has also spotted opportunities for a share of a cup of soup. He told Liu was originally just a truck driver, is responsible for pulling cargo to the garlic processing plant earlier this year, he heard the news of garlic prices will rise, has decided to participate in one.
Liu Jun, truck drivers: "For this year, and the prices can also be, in the past garlicBusinessBad dry, this year, they often do is to save a little, want to relatives, friends, house mortgage loans, so loan-to deposit a little part of the money. "
Reporter: "How much loan money, by how much?"
Liu Jun: "borrowed about 40 million per."
After the patchwork of 400,000 yuan, Liu 2 yuan per catty about to buy 300 tons of garlic, a few months later, these garlic's total jumped from 400,000 yuan to 96 yuan, Liu hands a sell, after the payment of all arrears, but also a net earned 50 million yuan.
Liu Jun, truck drivers: "To sell now, it should earn more, earn more money, a 10 to 10000, and now is basically to achieve four fast, and better quality, better close to four."
Now, although still dry the truck drivers work, but Liu different varieties of garlic on the quality and Quotes are basically well known. He told reporters that he also intends to continue to invest in next year's garlic.
Liu Jun, truck driver: "I am a house installment loans, and then the money to pay off the house, taking into account next year, do a little better to do, slowly come to citizenship."
Reporter: "Next year the price is not necessarily so Well?"
Liu Jun: "Well next year's visit to the market, to the land which is probably how a small amount, the plan to themselves to inspection."
Garlic behind the price spikes if there hype?
After listening to Liu garlicBusinessThe may be that people will echocardiography. In fact, in this market, people like him who holds several hundred thousand dollars into the market, and fairly a minor, a more substantial amount of money yet to come. Sources said that at present there are 50 million yuan of hot money into the north of Wenzhou garlic market, along with the owner of coal resources in Shanxi have also continuously flock to garlic market.
Has been tepid garlic, suddenly became the object of speculation in all kinds of competing funds, which should be resting in the past I am afraid that not everyone would like. Trading of agricultural products on the market either, the demand for more agricultural products than either garlic, garlic can be Why is this sudden price spikes, but also touched the hearts of so many sensitive nerve? Let's find out.
Li Jingfeng, Shandong Jinxiang Garlic Association, he told us this year, reasons for this are hard to find a balance situation, mainly because of supply and demand relationship has changed.
Shandong province Jinxiang Garlic Association, Huaguang Group Chairman Li Jingfeng: "Because in 2008, due to the increase in the general area of garlic cultivation, resulting in oversupply the market, so that farmers and the middleDistributionThere are commercial exporters in varying degrees by the very large losses, in this case, that the people of the kinds of garlic to reduce a lot of enthusiasm, so say, garlic acreage was reduced by 30%. "
Reduction in acreage this year's garlic makes a sharp decline in output, largely pushed up the price of garlic. Subsequently, the influenza outbreak spread worldwide, because people generally believe that garlic can be sterilization, disinfection, enhance the body immunity, and can even prevent infection in a stream, which rise in the price of garlic has played a role in fueling.
Shandong province Jinxiang Garlic Association, Huaguang Group Chairman Li Jingfeng: "In 2003 when the SARS virus, the soaring price of garlic appeared in such a situation, especially this year from the International Comparison of wide range of influenza A , international demand is also a general increase in garlic, which is the price of garlic that is one reason for the rising. "
November 16, the Chinese Academy of Engineering, Chinese Medical Association, Zhong Nanshan, of the folklore of the "eat garlic anti-A Stream" was carried out to respond, he said that garlic does have the role of bacteria, but there is not enough evidence A stream of garlic have a preventive effect. However, Zhong Nanshan's remarks, and Members did not contain the momentum of rising prices garlic, at present, the retail price of garlic all over the country are already a breakthrough is basically 4 yuan per catty, in some places even more than the price of garlic pork, to catty 5.5 yuan. During our visit, found that garlic prices not only reduced the area under cultivation and the spread of the epidemic a stream. At the China International Futures Brokerage Co., Ltd., specializes in agricultural futures researcher DU Qing-Qing, told reporters in the past year, an analysis of the price of garlic, it can be concluded that the garlic was definitely hype behind the price spikes.
China International Futures Brokerage Co., a researcher DU Qing-Qing: "Like last year, including producer prices can be seen growing, one kilogram of about a dollar or so, then this is not due to the impact of financial crisis, the area under cultivation has decreased, prices of other fertilizers, electricity the price is not rising, and I think this part of the total share of relatively small, so that from the cultivation of the cost of this concept is concerned, the current prices so high, there is a definite bubble, you want to rise for at least 40 times, up from more than ten times, several times the bubble is not small. "
Reporter: "yes there are still factors that speculation?"
DU Qing-Qing: "Yes, there are some elements of speculation."
In Jinxiang village of the South sub-market stores, reporters learned that, although the price of garlic has been several times higher than last year, but theDistributionOperators are in no hurry to shot, there was a purchase of the business came from Shenzhen to switch a long time had not found people who are willing to ship.
Reporter: "Do you want to buy goods?"
Shenzhen businessman: "Yes."
Reporter: "Then you have to find the target?"
Shenzhen businessman: "Can not find, they do not want to sell."
Reporter: "You are in the hands of cargo it?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "there, who have."
Reporter: "How many in your hand?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "There is a few hundred tonnes."
Reporter: "willing to sell it?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "Now Cheap No, small cargo had to rise."
Reporter: "How much you sell it?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "It can not say to not work when land prices are also sold, and now looking at going to go up, so do not sell."
Reporter: "Do you think it will be risen to how much money?"
GarlicDistributionBusiness: "4 up."
The seller of the mouth of the four up, referring to the wholesale price of garlic, while the current wholesale price of Jinxiang garlic is 3.5,3.6 yuan, in his view is much room for appreciation in the south shop sub-market, and his like-minded have a lot of people. Not only that, the reporter on the ground have also learned that when the price of garlic all the way up, and some garlic, a large number of companies have started hoarding goods reluctant sellers.
Shandong province Jinxiang Garlic Association, Huaguang Group Chairman Li Jingfeng: "This means that less as a main reason for disturbing the people involved in this part of the garlic provides a profitable opportunity, so they are not only not to sell, but also In the rush to save some of the funds voted garlic. "
Wang Aiguo is also a garlicDistributionProviders, from the beginning of this year, he and several friends started buying a lot of garlic, the current inventory on hand has been very impressive.
Reporter: "This year you are a few people engage in, and now keep the number of goods?"
GarlicDistributionShang Wang patriotic: "This year, we came up with 4,5 personal 2000 tons."
Wang Aiguo of garlic are placed in local expertise of cold storage of garlic, the quarter, down 250 yuan per ton required to pay the cost of 2000 tons of cash, Wang Aiguo as long as one shot will be able to make more than 700 million, but he would prefer to to the cold storage to continue to pay storage fees, no hurry to ship.
GarlicDistributionShang Wang patriotism: "This thing is one such market discipline, the more there is to buy up more, as we all wait, but now the whole (DRC Township) Garlic is concerned, Gouxiaoliangwang everyone is selling, sell nor less. "
Reporter: "You This is a few?"
GarlicDistributionShang Wang patriotic: "I am a recently would also like to come forth, until a good price."
Such as the King is not only a patriotic local merchants, many foreign businessmen, have been engaged in other industries, a look at fried garlic profitable, also rushed from.
GarlicDistributionShang Wang patriotic: "There is engaged in real estate, a look at the real estate prices last year, no, look at a comparison of garlic to make money, prices soared, they come up with the money to invest in this garlicBusiness, There are also some that invest in Garlic FlakesBusinessOn. "
We can see that tight supply and rising market prices for these Jinxiang garlicDistributionShen put the situation this year, exceptionally gas supplier. May, in their view, as long as the price of garlic and then not go on forever, on hand corner of the garlic is a golden doll will continue to inflate. Their psychology is actually typical of speculation, chase sell into, as long as no one will not be easily shipped prices, hoarding, further price increases. So, Suannong but also from the number assigned to the wave of market speculation "cake"?
Garlic will always be a "noble dishes" do?
We have seen earlier, despite the Academician Zhong Nanshan has been said, there is bactericidal effect of garlic does not mean that it can control a stream, but that does not impede the market through rumors and speculation continue to garlic. And former or even a few cents more than the price of a few cents a pound now worth garlic has been changed several times in.
We are from Shandong Jinxiang garlic was found on the market, manyDistributionGarlic retail providers and speculation, in this year's wave of Quotes on the trace and hand in a few months, earning hundreds of thousands or even millions. They are in short supply garlic from the body receivedProfits, That garlic does it mean that this year farmers should earn more? Let us now take a look at Suan Nong benefits.
Wang Yu Wang Tong Village Development Zone, is Jinxiang village, she told reporters, garlic this year, prices rose 2,000 yuan per mu to be able to net income, although the relativeDistributionHundreds of thousands of business at every turn, millions of profits, this money is negligible, but as an ordinary farmer, he was very satisfied.
Wang Tong Village Development Zone, Wang Jinxiang village Jade: "Similar to previous years, more than pretty good, from the beginning to the kinds of garlic, do not have this price range. Very satisfied, good enough."
Turning to this year's soaring prices of garlic, Wang Yuqing, and not the excitement that we had imagined, he told us that his family has 8 acres of land are all kinds of garlic, each of his eight acres of land to be invested in this great time and money costs of .
Wang Tong Village Development Zone, Wang Jinxiang village Jade: "(each mu of land) from fertilizer to plastic sheeting to planting garlic, medicine, the entire watering was 1000 yuan."
Per mu in need of input-thousand dollars, eight acres of land that is eight thousand dollars, but in 2008, due to a substantial increase in acreage and production, garlic is not on the sell price, the lowest with just a few cents a pound, in 2008, Wang Yu-an years of hard work on the whole failed to be implemented.
Wang Tong Village Development Zone, Wang Jinxiang village Jade: "Last year (an acre of land earned) 700,800 dollars, that is, a fertilizers enough money to light the cost of fees, labor is not contributed to."
Because garlic can only be sold for a few cents per catty, even some of the road freight far enough, some farmers simply to pile up a lot of garlic and let it rot in the ground.
Wang Tong Village Development Zone, Wang Jinxiang village Jade: "all, some get it back exclusion in (Hom) the middle, are also excluded into that pit."
At that time, after witnessing a scene like this, like Wang Yu-Suan Nong such sentiments are low, many people have switched to growing the original land of garlic planted wheat, cotton and other crops, resulting in Jinxiang garlic acreage substantially reduced. Interview, the reporter learned that the price is gratifying to see this year's garlic, a lot of garlic Suannong has been also expanding its acreage. 2010 King Township, only one county acreage will be expanded by 10%.
GarlicDistributionShang Wang Patriotic: "The whole village is a perennial plant of gold 60 mu, a look around, all kinds of garlic to make money, so the expansion of cultivated area, for example,JiangsuThe Pizhou, Laiwu, Shandong, Henan, etc. Zhongmu are these places, the area planted acreage of major production areas are expanding. "
Jinxiang Garlic Association, Li Jingfeng, however, told reporters that the expansion of cultivated area is likely to result in lower prices next year's garlic.
Shandong province Jinxiang Garlic Association, Huaguang Group Chairman Li Jingfeng: "Planting garlic is relatively low tech, it is this price with the trends and changes in wave-shaped, sometimes cultivated area has decreased, the price will go up, planting it will increase the size of the cut, so that it will bring about another wave of garlic lowered the price. "
How fair treatment skyrocketing price of garlic
I note that the data provided prior to Jinxiang said, after garlic price slump in 2008, after their acreage this year, down 30%, but no one dreamed that this year garlic prices suddenly soared up again, it appears that change kinds of wheat, cotton farmers still did not catch this wave of market, no prices on the back of garlic from last year's loss.
Let me be more worried about or what happened to these farmers for next year. Seeing garlic prices, not only Jinxiang, and even some parts of the provinces have expanded in area planted garlic, garlic Quotes if the 2010 really soared after the crash occurred, Suannong are likely to encounter once they get done, like in 2008 heavy losses. Right now it is imperative to get the market to curb the excessive speculation of garlic to prevent price shocks hurt the interests of farmers.
DU Qing-Qing told reporters, garlic price fluctuations will not only damage the enthusiasm of farmers, for those who wish to aid customers in terms of investments intended to make money, but also means that no small risk.
China International Futures Brokerage Co., Ltd. researcher DU Qing-Qing: "When the price is relatively high, people will reduce the demand for the purchase, so late as to reduce demand and prices have risen so far off, I do not expect."
Reporter: "It will come down?"
DU Qing-Qing: "Yes, there will be a sign of decline."
DU Qing-Qing analysis, for those price spikes and exceeded reasonable limits of agricultural products, though not all, like wheat, corn and other agricultural products, as the establishment of purchasing and storage system, when needed stabilize market prices, it is necessary to establish a mechanism to avoid price fluctuations.
China International Futures Brokerage Co., Ltd. researcher DU Qing-Qing: "Then, later may be a time when other commodities rising, but also the establishment of purchasing and storage system, which I think can set up a small piece of vegetable-based, for example, it does not establish a central inventory, then I can build some provincial, prefecture-level city, a government to regulate. "
DU Qing-Qing also said that such a dish similar to garlic smaller varieties of agricultural products, in order to avoid speculation and other factors caused a tremendous impact on the prices of the key, or through electronic transactions, and ways to enhance the transparency of transactions. In fact, the garlic Jinxiang garlic providers have begun to try to futures trading, on the mid-November of this year, Wang Aiguo and his severalBusinessOn a partner, set up an international Jinxiang garlic Exchange, through a web trading platform allows registered users to be able, as the sale of stock as the sale of garlic, garlic in place of the previous price of the agreed bargaining model of relying on verbal.
China International Futures Brokerage Co., Ltd. researcher DU Qing-Qing: "The introduction of an electronic transaction, such as purchasing and storage market has a garlic electronic transactions, similar to the futures, then the sale of our common here, then reached a common recognition on the market price,
And we all do, then the price of a transparent market, during which it has relatively very reasonable. "
DU Qing-Qing also stressed that the introduction of electronic trading is a very good attempt, but it must be established as well as the futures delivery system, otherwise, alone virtual trading network on the market, it is easy to attract hot money malicious speculation.
China International Futures Brokerage Co., Ltd. researcher DU Qing-Qing: "This recognition of the price of it rely on protection, rely on our delivery system to delivery after the expiration of the seller to go to delivery, the buyer going to pay, especially if the price is speculation high, also said it might be there is more than short squeeze Cye.com.cn phenomenon, then this time may produce neither side gains and many short squeeze, short reach of goods, he could only in the spot market or futures market or any other breach of contract , the spot market buyers and sellers pushing prices is particularly high, at this time if he received the goods if the spot market price was so low, he is also a loss, this delivery system has led to long-term futures price comparison fair, Or more in line with the recognition of such a market, so this system is better. "
A half-hourObservation：
2009 skyrocketing garlic, reminds me of the 2007 surge of pork. Then soaring meat prices had also attracted funds separate ways to follow up, and even diverted to real estate was built in the pen. However, the market price bubble will soon set off on a pig enthusiasm wiped out, and separated by only less than two years, this year's meat prices, and then down to 2007 starting point. Change transmigration between the loss is the worst pig farmers. The establishment of agricultural pricing mechanism for the Chinese economy has not a new topics. As a large agricultural country, agricultural price system has been so much chaos in the economic interests of the farmers lack of security, they are just like a leaf boat drift along with the market storms is neither light nor buoy navigational map, is always in a weak position, and truly never take away most of the profits or those whoDistributionBusiness. And this information asymmetry, and gave provided an opportunity for speculation, the market is not a clear price signals, can only be based on various rumors fits and starts. Pork spike has given us a profound lesson I hope will not become a second case of garlic.
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